Friday, February 26, 2010

Heroin

Source-http://www.metro.co.uk/news/814761-schoolgirls-dear-heroin-letter-before-od
Aidan Radnedge - 25th February, 2010 Share|
Schoolgirl Hannah Meredith's Dear Heroin letter days before drugs OD
Schoolgirl Hannah Meredith died from a heroin overdose just three weeks after writing an emotional 'Dear Heroin' letter celebrating her apparent triumph over addiction.



Hannah Meredith relapsed and was found dead aged just 17, three years after her first taste of hard drugs.

Now her distraught parents have released the poignant ‘Dear Heroin’ letter in which she confronted the demon that ravaged her life.

They hope to shock other youngsters into avoiding heroin – and make anti-drug agencies give better help to struggling teenage addicts.

In her letter, Hannah, from the Welsh town of Llanelli, said she stole from her family to pay for her habit, leading to run-ins with police.

After briefly managing to give up the drug, she wrote: ‘Dear Heroin, I never want to touch you ever again - you’ve ruined my life.’

The note – quoted in part on the left – described the misery of ‘cold turkey’ and ‘clucking’, as well as the shame of ‘pin holes’ and ‘track marks’ in her arms. The teenager, who was given her first ecstasy tablet on her 14th birthday and a year later was using heroin, said she was lucky the drug had not ‘put me in a box’.

Yet three weeks later, she was found dead in her bed from an overdose of heroin, temazepam and diazepam.

Her mother, Louise, 43, recalled breaking down in tears when Hannah read her the letter for the first time.

‘She was so proud of it, and I was so proud of her for writing it,’ Mrs Meredith said. ‘I just hope it can help someone else now.’

The family has set up the Hannah Meredith Foundation, hoping to provide a ‘one-stop shop’ offering families help and advice. They also plan to publish her letter in an anti-drugs booklet for schools and youth centres.

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Saturday, February 20, 2010

Sex addict still on the prowl.

Source-http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2010/feb/19/tiger-woods-apology-comment



Tiger's florid yet impersonal apology

How sorry can one person be? We get it, Tiger. You're sorry. Any other business?

You could use words such as "cowed" and "broken" about Tiger Woods, but that would make him sound as if he was on the spectrum of normal. He started off normal – he was pretty solemn as he took the podium, but that's podiums for you. A light-hearted person talks sitting down. As soon as Woods started talking, though, he looked like an internet video of a kidnapped person who's about to be executed by terrorists. Haunted, beseeching, desperate yet impersonal – all he needed was some armed men standing behind him in balaclavas. Immediately, I'm thinking, it was only sex. It wasn't cruelty to animals. Or have I fallen into a cunning trap?

"I am aware of the pain my behaviour has caused to those of you in this room," he started. Well, up to a point … pain is a strong word, for the experience of realising a golfer is promiscuous. If we're going to call that pain, we might have to make up a new word for actual pain. He went on to make a list of all the people he could conceivably have hurt, starting with his wife, and ending, somewhat expansively, with the millions of young people that he reaches. It was like an Oscar acceptance speech, only better. Apology has so much more going for it than gratitude. Wouldn't it be cool if Oscar winners had to publicly atone, before they were given their statue?

But moving on – Tiger, he'd like to make plain, has seen the truth. "I know, I have bitterly disappointed all of you. I have made you question who I am and how I have done the things I did." Well, steady on, chap, I think most of us can imagine how an international sportsperson might want to … Oh… hang on, it's all starting to make sense. "It's hard to admit that I need help, but I do. For 45 days I was in inpatient therapy receiving guidance for the issues I am facing." He's been 12-stepped, or however many steps there are when it's sex addiction (one step back and two steps forward?). That's the first thing they drum into you – you have to apologise, sincerely, to everybody you know who might have met you in your addicted period. You can't be seen to be making light of it, but in the case of sex (rather than, say, heroin), you do then run the risk of maybe having got things a tiny bit out of proportion. "Parents used to point to me as a role model for their kids. I owe all those families a special apology." Sort of … but I'm not sure that they pointed to him as a moral role model. How would that conversation even go? "Son, when you grow up, I want you to stay faithful to your wife, and not shag around. Be like Tiger Woods."

Even as he spread-eagled himself on the ground, writhing about in shame, I thought I detected, not insincerity, exactly, but maybe a bit of apology fatigue. "I was wrong, I was foolish. I don't get to play by different rules, the same boundaries that apply to everyone apply to me." He sounded as if he had zoned out a bit, as if he was reading out the rules of a sport. But, you know, it was all such a florid display of ­sorriness, even if he wasn't properly sorry, it feels as though the sorry-penalty has been so huge, his sincerity isn't even the point any more. No amount of contrition could possibly be as grim as having to say sorry, this many times, to this many people.

So, anyway, we get it, he's sorry. Any other business? One thing, he hopes one day to be able to support "others who are seeking help". Huh. Weird. Do they have to be sex addicts, or can it be ­anybody who's getting ready to be really, really sorry? He will return to golf, perhaps this year, when he's learned to make his behaviour more "respectful of the game". But how much respect does golf need? If it wants more respect, it might want to consider bigger balls.

And one more thing: "I have a lot to atone for."

With that, he stepped down, approached a lady in the front row, gave her a hug. It went on for ages. I thought for a second he might have accidentally … oh no, it's his mum. Phew. Tiger Woods is properly sorry.

Friday, February 19, 2010

The Fall of the Tiger.

The Fall of the Tiger.
It was truly one of the most pathetic performances ever seen by a sportsmen. The apology given by Tiger Woods today was fingers down the throat sickening on so many levels. 1.Why did he feel the need to publicly apologise for something that has no relation to golf? 2. His whole demeanour was that of a victim, designed to provoke sympathy-Why? 3. His admission that he is attending a clinic for sex addiction. Fucking around is not a disease or an affliction, for most men this is quite normal-and should be enjoyed. Youth should be the time for sowing your oats, but being unfaithful is still not a disease-just stupid! 4. Why did the media take this so seriously when most of us are thinking-what a load of bollocks?
What happens between him and his family is none of our business, and I will now wait for him to apologise for apologising. His biggest mistake is apologising to the world and believing that we care. It shows such an astounding degree of self-important conceit that it almost compares to the Beatles statement that they were more popular than Jesus-but at least that was true.
His sponsors need to get a grip, as no star has ever lost popularity for being human. Personal morality and sport are not related, George Best, Maradona, Wayne Rooney, David Beckham and John Terry will always be remembered and admired by men for their football not their philandering. Priests, Vicars, and other professions that preach morality should practice what they preach, a sportsmen needs to practice professional morality and fair play, his personal life is his concern, not ours.
Was Tiger brave to face the world's media? No, just extremely stupid.

His sponsors should now drop him for being so utterly pathetic-as should his wife. He has now brought his family life into the public sphere and therefore made himself fair game. He needs to check out of the clinic , as staying there is only refusing to accept responsibility for his actions by blaming it on a 'sickness' . The only important question he needs to ask himself is- Am I sorry? Or am I just sorry that I got caught? Whatever the answer, just get on with it, go to work and stop being a twat about it.

Thursday, February 18, 2010

He aint heavy he's my brother..

My brother Antony is featured in the Guardian today-speaking as a bodyguard 'advisor'. That's not him in the picture by the way!



A bodyguard talks

What is it like to guard a celebrity during their more intimate moments?



A bodyguard

'Close protection officers' must allow their high-profile clients a degree of privacy. Photograph: Alamy

Prince Harry and Chelsy Davy reportedly celebrated Valentine's Day with an ­"intimate" dinner at the west London restuarant Julie's. But with a royal bodyguard almost certainly close at hand, just how "intimate" could this dinner ­really have been? Tony Hughes, ­managing director of Liverpool-based security firm GDM, ­explains how a "close ­protection officer", or CPO, would approach such a situation.

We instil in all our ­prospective CPOs that the principal [or client] has to be entitled to a degree of privacy. They will be privy to personal information and secrets, but it must always remain private. They are in a position of trust.

Yes, it can be unusual if the principal is having an intimate dinner with a wife or girlfriend. It can take them time to get used to it, too. The royal family have always been used to it, but newcomers might find it hard. Princess Diana famously did.

Depending on the risks, we will employ a "security advance party" to assess a restaurant or hotel ahead of the principal's arrival. Once the principal gets there we try to give them as much of a free rein as possible. For example, when they need to use the toilet, we will accompany them but will stand outside the door. If three or four men suddenly appear and go into the toilet we will go in too and wash our hands just to reassure ourselves.

Sometimes you'll be with a principal who's married, and you know that what they're ­doing – say, going out with other women – does not fit with you own personal morals, but that simply can't come into it.

Often a girlfriend or boyfriend will try to put pressure on the principal to dispense with their security team for a period of time, but we have to stick to the protocols that have been agreed in advance.
Original source-http://www.guardian.co.uk/lifeandstyle/2010/feb/17/bodyguard-celebrity-intimate-moments

Monday, February 15, 2010

The Serenity Prayer and If

The Serenity Prayer

Reinhold Niebuhr
Addendum: Niebuhr's, The Serenity Prayer (1934) reads:


"God, give us grace to accept with serenity
the things that cannot be changed,
Courage to change the things
which should be changed,
and the Wisdom to distinguish
the one from the other.
"Living one day at a time,
Enjoying one moment at a time,
Accepting hardship as a pathway to peace,
Taking, as Jesus did,
This sinful world as it is,
Not as I would have it,
Trusting that You will make all things right,
If I surrender to Your will,
So that I may be reasonably happy in this life,
And supremely happy with You forever in the next."


"Reinhold Niebuhr ... discusses the Serenity Prayer and how it came to be in his book, The Essential Reinhold Niebuhr: Selected Essays and Addresses:


'... The embarrassment, particularly, was occasioned by the incessant correspondence about a prayer I had composed years before, which the old Federal Council of Churches had used and which later was printed on small cards to give to soldiers. Subsequently Alcoholics Anonymous adopted it as its official prayer. The [AA] prayer reads:
"God, give us grace to accept with serenity the things that cannot be changed, courage to change the things that should be changed, and the wisdom to distinguish the one from the other." ...'

I prefer if...

If-Rudyard Kipling



IF you can keep your head when all about you
Are losing theirs and blaming it on you,
If you can trust yourself when all men doubt you,
But make allowance for their doubting too;
If you can wait and not be tired by waiting,
Or being lied about, don't deal in lies,
Or being hated, don't give way to hating,
And yet don't look too good, nor talk too wise:
If you can dream - and not make dreams your master;
If you can think - and not make thoughts your aim;
If you can meet with Triumph and Disaster
And treat those two impostors just the same;
If you can bear to hear the truth you've spoken
Twisted by knaves to make a trap for fools,
Or watch the things you gave your life to, broken,
And stoop and build 'em up with worn-out tools:
If you can make one heap of all your winnings
And risk it on one turn of pitch-and-toss,
And lose, and start again at your beginnings
And never breathe a word about your loss;
If you can force your heart and nerve and sinew
To serve your turn long after they are gone,
And so hold on when there is nothing in you
Except the Will which says to them: 'Hold on!'
If you can talk with crowds and keep your virtue,
' Or walk with Kings - nor lose the common touch,
if neither foes nor loving friends can hurt you,
If all men count with you, but none too much;
If you can fill the unforgiving minute
With sixty seconds' worth of distance run,
Yours is the Earth and everything that's in it,
And - which is more - you'll be a Man, my son!

Stavros and the banker

Does the situation in Greece mark the beginning of the second bite from the financial crisis? It would appear that the same bankers responsible for the last crisis have a very big hand in present developments.

Excerpts from an article in today's Independent
full article-http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/goldman-sachs-the-greek-connection-1899527.html


Goldman Sachs: the Greek connection

Goldman Sachs, the giant investment bank, is today at the centre of the row over the Greek government's finances, amid recriminations over complex financial deals that allowed the eurozone nation to skirt its debt limits......

....The euro membership rules place strict caps on the size of government deficits relative to a national economy, but Goldman Sachs and other banks helped Greece raise cash earlier in the decade in ways that did not appear in the official statistics...

.....In one deal, Goldman channelled $1bn of funding to the government in 2002, in a transaction called a cross-currency swap.....
Goldman Sachs, the world's most powerful investment bank, is already under intense scrutiny in the ongoing controversy over banking practices, pay and profits. President Barack Obama last month launched an assault on Wall Street, proposing to cap the size of the biggest US banks and clamp down on their trading activities. On the same day, Goldman began distributing nearly £10bn in pay and bonuses to its staff for their 2009 performance, just a year after the financial system was bailed out by governments. Reflecting the importance of the Greek government as a client, and the scale of the fees to be generated from derivatives deals, Goldman sent Gary Cohn, who as chief operating officer is second-in-command of the global group, to Athens last November to pitch for new business with the debt management office....

Sunday, February 14, 2010

Growing strength of China masks doubts about future

Growing strength of China masks doubts about future

As Chinese around the globe celebrate the Year of the Tiger, many fear that the newly confident world power will try to thwart the west at every turn. But the leadership remains anxious about the true strength of its economy and society...continued below or follow link to source.

Source-Observer-http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/feb/14/china-strength-doubts-future
More Related-
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/feb/14/observer-editorial-china
More-http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/feb/14/china-tensions-relationship-west





China last night heralded the lunar new year with the usual deafening, dazzling pyrotechnics. But outside the country, some fear the year of the tiger will see another kind of fireworks, as a newly confident world power asserts itself globally.

"China is getting stronger and stronger. You can see it from the happy faces coming to buy firecrackers," declared stallholder Han Jing, as she handed out rockets and other wares from her busy booth in north Beijing. In the economic crisis, it was not affected as badly as other countries. Our Chinese people have confidence that it will overtake every other country."

Grabbing a bumper packet of explosives, her customer Zhou Liyuan agreed. "At least the British drug smuggler [Akmal Shaikh] was executed. In the past, there would have been more negotiations. There are a lot of conflicts between China and the US now, and we have a stronger point of view this time."

Recent weeks have seen disputes with the west over everything from trade to climate change. In Europe and the US, business ­people and officials grumble privately of the increasing assertiveness – arrogance, say many – of this growing power.

"I think 2009 has been a turning point," said Professor Feng Zhongping, director of European relations at the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations. "If you say China is more confident, that would be accurate. But I think there have been misunderstandings by the US and ­European governments and especially the media. I don't think China has become 'prickly'."

From the western perspective, China has been unwilling to shoulder the responsibilities that go alongside greater international power: failing to press Iran and North Korea on nuclear proliferation or to make a serious commitment to tackling climate change; punishing other countries with its artificially low currency.

It has brushed aside criticism on human rights and sought to export censorship, pressing overseas film festivals to drop documentaries on Tibet and Xinjiang.

But some of the recent tension has been overplayed. President Obama's predecessors also met the Dalai Lama and China objected in each case. The two are scheduled to meet on Thursday. Analysts also say Beijing has exerted more pressure on North Korea of late.

From Beijing's point of view, the west is making unrealistic demands – expecting it not only to understand other countries' priorities, but also to compromise its own interests.

"Some people's expectation of China was that, with economic development, foreign policy and political reform would become westernised," said Feng. A lot of people don't think a responsible great power just does what the US expects it to do."

Victor Gao, director of the China National Association of International Studies, argued that the US shopping list was increasingly long. "The arms sales to Taiwan and the visit of the Dalai Lama take place at a time they need help on Iran… What are the top three issues for America? If they put Tibet or Taiwan in there, I would be amazed," he said.

That helps to explain why China sees no point in yielding on certain issues.

"Beijing's new assertiveness is less the result of its growing economic clout than the realisation that [ultimately] western governments care far less about human rights than about trade and economics," said Nicholas Bequelin, Asia researcher at Human Rights Watch.

Elsewhere in the world, China's rise is met with as much enthusiasm as fear. Neighbours may be alarmed by its growing might, but there is greater enthusiasm on other continents.

Professor Deborah Brautigam, whose recent book The Dragon's Gift examines the Chinese presence in Africa, said that, while some there see China as "the new colonialist", others have welcomed it. "African leaders and commentators expressing this view are not naive about Chinese interest in Africa. But they actually like to hear the Chinese talk about investment opportunities instead of aid [and] are intrigued by models such as the resource-backed infrastructure loans," she said.

Analysts predict further tension, rather than a spectacular confrontation, between China and the west. Gao argues that the stakes are too high for both sides. "The decision-makers in this town are cautious, prudent people; not because they are afraid of the other side, but because they know increasing friction is bad for China, bad for the US and bad for the world," he said.

Beijing may be increasingly confident, but it does not yet believe its smooth ascendancy is a given. Underneath the veneer of confidence lie persistent anxieties about the true strength of its economy and society, and how to handle issues such as soaring inequality and endemic corruption. Such domestic vulnerabilities enhance the appeal of promoting popular nationalism, yet also reinforce the potential dangers of international disputes.

"What many observers see [as greater assertiveness] is in fact the product of a larger debate and policy struggle in Beijing about where China should be in the next 10 years and how it should get there," argued Russell Leigh Moses, a Beijing-based political analyst. The only real agreement thus far is that China is not to be pushed around, and so you get over-reaction and elbowing and jersey-tugging from many officials here."

And at street level, while many ordinary Chinese people celebrate their country's rise with pride, others are deeply cynical about its prospects. "We're a nuclear power, but are we prepared to use military power against anyone?" complained another of Han's fireworks buyers, who declined to give his name.

"The statistics that China provides about its economy are all fake. A lot of graduates can't get jobs. When ­outsiders come to Beijing it takes seven or 10 years to get a hukou [household ­registration], yet getting a US green card might not take them that long. I'm not sure whether China's stronger as a country – but its citizens aren't."

If such pessimistic judgments prove well-founded, the Chinese political establishment may face as much pressure from within as without, as it attempts to consolidate superpower status in 2010.


Without human rights China's boom will turn to bust

China must let civil society flourish, which means more political freedom




As a new Chinese year dawns, Beijing is feeling empowered on many fronts. Its seat is assured at the top table of every global summit, whether on financial matters, security or climate change.

At one level, the global balance of economic power has shifted decisively eastward. Most of the west spent the money it earned, borrowed more and spent that too. It is broke, while China's pockets are bulging.

The Chinese economy expanded by around 8% in 2009. The country has unrivalled status as exporter-in-chief to the rich world's consumers. Its own vast population is eyed thirstily by the industrialised world as a potential market, but the Communist Party has control over the terms of access.

That changing relationship has been accompanied by more Chinese assertiveness, both in foreign policy and domestic affairs. Dissent is being stifled with more vigour and less heed to outside criticism.

But it would be a mistake to see in that trend only Chinese strength. States also become more coercive when they feel insecure.

China's phenomenal economic expansion has many characteristics of a bubble. Most enterprises run on state loans, awarded on political, not commercial criteria. Debts accumulated in this way amount to nearly three times China's GDP – trillions of dollars. The exact amount is impossible to know because truly independent auditing would be tantamount to political sedition.

But as China integrates more with the global economy it will struggle to sustain the pretence that its domestic economy is based on real transactions, when so much of it is paper fiction. There will have to be an adjustment. It could be just painful; it could be calamitous.

That need for economic reform is inseparable from the need for greater democracy. The transition to a more functional domestic economy requires clear legal standards of property and consumer rights. That amounts to the same kind of reforms that democracy activists demand. Long-term economic stability and human rights both rely on trusted, independent legal institutions.

China urgently needs to discern its good businesses from its rotten ones. It will struggle to do that unless it has consumer organisations, sound commercial banks, free trade unions, independent accountants.

It must, in other words, let civil society flourish. That means more political freedom. Beijing is clearly not interested in taking lessons on political morality from the west. It might be more open to arguments based on hard commerce.


The tensions that define China's relationship with the west



Tension 1 The Dalai Lama
Meeting of Tibet's spiritual leader with Obama is a passing irritant

What's the problem?
China's Foreign Ministry has urged Barack Obama to cancel his meeting with the Dalai Lama, in Washington on Thursday, warning it will damage Sino-US relations.
View from the west
Washington and Europe are anxious to highlight the cause of exiled Tibetans and concerns about human rights in the autonomous region, particularly since the unrest of 2008. Every US president for the past 20 years has met the exiled spiritual leader. Obama delayed their meeting because he wanted to visit China first. That led to accusations he was soft-pedalling.
View from Beijing
China accuses the Dalai Lama of heading separatist forces – he says he seeks only meaningful autonomy – and has taken a tough line on his meetings with heads of state, particularly since his high-profile 2007 visit to the US. In 2008 it cancelled an EU summit after learning that French president Nicolas Sarkozy was to meet him.
How serious could the row become?
It is unlikely to escalate, although the fact that the meeting coincides with other frictions has complicated matters. China was keen to avoid a rerun of 2007, when George W Bush presented the Dalai Lama with the Congressional Gold Medal; it can live, albeit unhappily, with a private meeting at the White House.

Tension 2 Sanctions on Iran
Alienating a vital provider of energy has no rewards

What's the problem?
The west is pushing for substantial United Nations sanctions against Iran to curb a nuclear programme which it believes is pursuing military as well as civilian goals.
View from the west
The US defence secretary, Robert Gates, said last week that he wanted to see sanctions imposed in "weeks, not months". Western leaders warn that Iran is not serious about reaching a deal.
View from Beijing
Iran, led by Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, is a key ally and energy supplier; China, a member of the UN security council, feels it has little to gain from alienating it. It argues that diplomatic avenues have not been exhausted, that Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons is not proved, and that sanctions will be ineffective. The US has sought to persuade Beijing by trying to set up a deal to safeguard its energy supplies and warning of the potential for Israeli military action.
How serious could the row become?
China's Foreign Ministry warned that the row over America's recent arms sale to Taiwan would "inevitably" affect regional and international co-operation – a comment many read as a signal that China would not play ball on Iran. Beijing could feel isolated if Moscow continues to stand alongside western powers, but even if it agrees to sanctions they are likely to be too watered down to satisfy others.
Tension 3 Arms sales to Taiwan
Despite the mainland's ritual fury, Taipei did not get all its wish-list

What's the problem?
The US is to sell Taiwan $6.4bn (£4bn) of arms – including Patriot missiles, mine-hunter ships and Black Hawk helicopters – under a deal agreed by the Bush administration.
The view from the west
The deal is necessary to keep the security balance in the region. The US also has a legal duty to help Taiwan defend itself; Beijing has more than 1,000 missiles pointing across the Taiwan Strait and says it could take military action if the self-ruled island seeks formal independence. However, Washington has not included the F16 fighter jets or submarine technology Taipei seeks.
View from Beijing
Its response to the announcement has been unusually strong: as well as suspending military exchanges, it threatened to place sanctions on US firms involved in the deal. Some analysts say leaders are seeking to defend their policy of thawing cross-strait relations; others that they want to prevent the sale of F16s and the like in future.
How serious could the row become?
It is probably not as bad as it looks. Despite suspending military exchanges, China appears to have approved a visit by the supercarrier USS Nimitz – one of the largest warships in the world – to Hong Kong this week. Experts suspect sanctions may be used to send a signal, but will probably not have a significant impact on US firms.
Tension 4 Currency
A slow march towards new trade balance

What's the problem?
The strength of the renminbi has been a long-running battle. Economists say it is undervalued by as much as 40% – encouraging cheap Chinese exports to flood other countries (thereby keeping down inflation, point out the Chinese) while discouraging imports.
View from the west
A substantial rise in the currency's value is necessary. Earlier this month Obama vowed to take a tougher stand on trade; given the state of the US economy, there is growing domestic clamour for action.
View from Beijing
China says it will not submit to pressure and accuses the US and Europe of protectionism. The recovery of exports (which plummeted last year) has persuaded many Chinese economists that appreciation is needed to head off nascent inflation and encourage a much-needed rebalancing of the economy, but Beijing will not want to look as if it has been pushed into a revaluation.
How serious could the row become?
There are fears this issue, alongside other trade frictions, could lead to tit-for-tat action, particularly if Obama formally labels China a currency manipulator. But China's deputy commerce minister last week dismissed prospects of a trade war; given their economic interdependence, all are likely to tread carefully. Many experts predict a slow, unheralded appreciation this year, but to a level far below US expectations.

Tension 5 Human rights
'There are no dissidents, only criminals'

What's the problem?
Human rights groups and foreign diplomats fear there is a growing attack on China's already fragile civil society, citing increased pressure on lawyers, internet censorship and a more punitive attitude to activists and dissidents, including writer Liu Xiaobo, sentenced to 11 years for subversion.
View from the west
China is not abiding by its own constitution, never mind international law, and must clean up its act if it wishes to be respected as a global power.
View from Beijing
China argues that other countries should not interfere in its domestic affairs. Asked about Liu's case last week, a Foreign Ministry spokesman told reporters: "China has no 'dissidents'. We only act in accordance with the law. There is only the difference between criminals and those who are not criminals." Some say western professions of concern are hypocritical and just another stick to beat China, given the record of the US and other countries on issues such as Guantánamo Bay.
How serious could the row become?
Both Chinese analysts and human rights campaigners are sceptical about whether western governments will make it a priority, particularly given the other issues – such as Iran – that they face.

Tension 6 Google and censorship
Defiant stand in web battle

What's the problem?
Google said last month it was no longer willing to censor its Chinese service, citing a China-originated cyber-attack that targeted human rights activists' email accounts.
View from the west
The Chinese should at least investigate the Google attack, which many suspect was sponsored or tacitly condoned by the government. China needs to roll back increasing online censorship and increase freedom of information.
View from Beijing
Initially gave a muted response to Google's bombshell. But Hillary Clinton's intervention prompted an angry fightback. State media accused the US of "online warfare", saying that it stirred up unrest in Iran.
How serious could the row become?
Google has said that it would like to remain in China. While officials are extremely unlikely to allow an uncensored search service, the firm might be able to maintain an advertising wing, for instance. Some doubt that internet freedom is truly a priority for America.









* guardian.co.uk © Guardian News and Media Limited 2010

Saturday, February 13, 2010

Facing up to China

SOURCE:http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?story_id=15452821&source=most_commented


Making room for a new superpower should not be confused with giving way to it

FOR six decades now, Taiwan has been where the simmering distrust between China and America most risks boiling over. In 1986 Deng Xiaoping called it the “one obstacle in Sino-US relations”. So there was something almost ritualistic about the Chinese government’s protestations this week that it was shocked, shocked and angered by America’s decision to sell Taiwan $6 billion-worth of weaponry. Under the Taiwan Relations Act, passed in 1979, all American administrations must help arm Taiwan so that it can defend itself. And China, which has never renounced what it says is its right to “reunify” Taiwan by force, feels just as bound to protest when arms deals go through. After a squall briefly roils the waters, relations revert to their usual choppy but unthreatening passage.

With luck, this will happen again. But the squalls are increasing in number, and the world’s most important bilateral relationship is getting stormy. If it goes wrong, historians will no doubt heap much of the blame on China’s aggression; but they will also measure Barack Obama on this issue, perhaps more than any other.

The China ascendancy

As if to highlight the underlying dangers, China has this time gone further than the usual blood-and-thunder warnings and suspension of military contacts (see article). It has threatened sanctions against American firms and the withdrawal of co-operation on international issues. Those threats, if carried out, would damage China’s interests seriously, so its use of them suggests that it hopes it can persuade Mr Obama to buckle—if not on this sale then perhaps on Taiwan’s mooted future purchases of advanced jet-fighters. But the unusual ferocity of the Chinese regime’s response also points to three dangerous undercurrents.

The first is the failure of China’s Taiwan policy. Under the presidency of Ma Ying-jeou, Taiwan’s relations with the mainland have been better than ever before. Travel, trade and tourist links have strengthened. A free-trade agreement is under negotiation. Yet there is little sign of progress towards China’s main goal of “peaceful reunification”. Most Taiwanese want both economic co-operation and de facto independence. A similar failure haunts policy in Tibet, where our correspondent, on a rarely permitted trip to the region, found the attempt to buy Tibetans’ loyalty through the fruits of development apparently futile (see article). As talks between China and the emissaries of the Dalai Lama ended in the usual stalemate this week, China warned Mr Obama against his planned meeting with Tibet’s exiled spiritual leader.

Again, nothing new in that. There is, however, a new self-confidence these days in China’s familiar harangues about anything it deems sovereign. That is the second trend: China, after its successful passage through the financial crisis of late 2008, is more assertive and less tolerant of being thwarted—and not just over its “internal affairs”. From its perceived position of growing economic strength, China has been throwing its weight around. It played a central and largely unhelpful role at the climate-change talks in Copenhagen; it looks as if it will wreck a big-power consensus over Iran’s nuclear programme; it has picked fights in territorial disputes with India, Japan and Vietnam. At gatherings of all sorts, Chinese officials now want to have their say, and expect to be heeded.

This suggests a dangerous third trend. As China has opened its economy since 1978, it has been frantically engaged in catching up with the rich West. That has led to the idea, even among many Chinese, that it would gradually become more “Western”. The slump in the West, however, has undermined that assumption. Many Chinese now feel they have little to learn from the rich world. On the contrary, a “Beijing consensus” has been gaining ground, extolling the virtues of decisive authoritarianism over shilly-shallying democratic debate. In the margins of international conferences such as the recent Davos forum, even American officials mutter despairingly about their own “dysfunctional” political system.

A swing not a seesaw

Two dangers arise from this loss of Western self-confidence. One is of trying to placate China. The delay in Mr Obama’s meeting with the Dalai Lama in order to smooth his visit to China in November gave too much ground, as well as turning an issue of principle into a bargaining chip. America needs to stand firmer. Beefing up the deterrent capacity of Taiwan, which China continues to threaten with hundreds of missiles, is in the interests of peace. Mr Obama should therefore proceed with the arms sales and European governments should back him. If American companies, such as Boeing, lose Chinese custom for political reasons, European firms should not be allowed to supplant them.

On the other hand the West should not be panicked into unnecessary confrontation. Rather than ganging up on China in an effort to “contain” it, the West would do better to get China to take up its share of the burden of global governance. Too often China wants the power due a global giant while shrugging off the responsibilities, saying that it is still a poor country. It must be encouraged to play its part—for instance, on climate change, on Iran and by allowing its currency to appreciate. As the world’s largest exporter, China’s own self-interest lies in a harmonious world order and robust trading system.

It is in the economic field that perhaps the biggest danger lies. Already the Obama administration has shown itself too ready to resort to trade sanctions against China. If China now does the same using a political pretext, while the cheapness of its currency keeps its trade surplus large, it is easy to imagine a clamour in Congress for retaliation met by a further Chinese nationalist backlash. That is why the administration and China’s government need to work together to pre-empt trouble.

Some see confrontation as inevitable when a rising power elbows its way to the top table. But America and China are not just rivals for global influence, they are also mutually dependent economies with everything to gain from co-operation. Nobody will prosper if disagreements become conflicts.

Related: http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=15452843
http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=15452683

Friday, February 12, 2010

Cold Buddha

Nice to see it warmer here- a sweltering 7c here today! Only 5.4c in Ngong Ping.
Why is it always cold in Hong Kong at Chinese New Year, although the date is different every year? It was 27c in Hong Kong 2 days ago, but like clockwork the mercury falls for the holiday!

Thursday, February 11, 2010

State of denial: Robert Fisk searches for peace in Israel

Source-http://www.independent.co.uk/opinion/commentators/fisk/state-of-denial-robert-fisk-searches-for-peace-in-israel-1895568.html
The Independent
February 11, 2010
Related blog entry-http://letstryeurope.blogspot.com/2007/09/great-war-for-civilisation.html

State of denial: Robert Fisk searches for peace in Israel
Can peace in the Middle East be achieved while both Israelis and Palestinians refuse to give ground? Robert Fisk takes a road trip through a divided land, from Ben-Gurion's Tel Aviv villa to Jerusalem, Bethlehem and the besieged Gaza Strip

There are no armed guards on the gate of Number 17 Ben-Gurion Boulevard in Tel Aviv, just a tired, two-storey villa set back from the street and an open door that leads to a dark kitchen and a little room with a cot on the floor.

There are bricks over the window above the neat little bed - to protect its owner and his wife Paula from Egyptian bombs during the 1956 Israeli invasion of Sinai, and the 1967 war - but upstairs is the bejewelled centre of this little home, David Ben- Gurion's library of 20,000 books. I pad through this den, scribbling in my notebook any clues to the mind of this most persuasive of Israeli leaders. Most of the books are in Hebrew - on religion, histories of the Zionist movement, research on Eretz Israel - but the creator of Israel and its first prime minister was also a linguist. There are Demosthenes and Homer in Greek, a three-volume history of the Hellenistic world, Julius Caesar in French, Duff Cooper's life of Tallyrand, George Bernard Shaw's complete works, a history of Vichy France, Henry Picker's Hitler's Table Talk (in English), Freud on psychology (in German), Guy Chapman's The Dreyfus Case, histories of Israel (including his own), a series on Jewish Influences on Christian Reform Movements. Ben-Gurion learned Spanish so that he could read a new biography of Cervantes. He loved Spinoza.

Then there are the photographs. Ben-Gurion with de Gaulle, with Kennedy and with a sad and debilitated Churchill, in 1961. Ben-Gurion wanted to read Churchill's almost forgotten essay on Moses; Churchill's letter to him, enclosing a copy of Thoughts and Adventures, is a little classic. "I have re-read it," Churchill wrote, "...and I would not particularly wish it to be remembered as one of my literary works."

But it was the set of Ben-Gurion's quotations that caught my eye: statements on the eternal morality of the State of Israel, messages from the great man - who physically was a very little man (I opened his bedroom cupboard and there were jackets and trousers of almost midget size) - in time of war. Here is Ben-Gurion, for example, during Israel's War of Independence - the Palestinian Arab 'Nakba' - when he feared that Jewish forces would destroy Muslim holy places in Jerusalem, cabling on 15 July 1948. "Further to my previous order relating to the Old City - you should see to it that the special force to be appointed for guarding the Old City uses mercilessly machine-guns against any Jew, and especially any Jewish soldier, who will try to pillage or to desecrate any Christian or Moslim holy place." In 1967, he was boasting of how, during the establishment of the state of Israel, "we did not damage any single mosque." Yet he was already creating myths. The undamaged mosques, he wrote in the same statement, were found in villages "without a single Moslem, as all of them had already fled during the [British] Mandatory rule and before the declaration of the State..." Amid the detritus of Ben-Gurion's life, his thick-framed spectacles, his Quink fountain pen ink ("permanent black"), the willow-pattern plates, the original 1951 Marc Chagall sketch of a rabbi with a harp, the old transistor radio in the shelter - we shall forget the elephant tusk from the president of Gabon - there are musings on the morality and nobility and purity of arms of Israel's army. "The fate of Israel depends on two factors: her strength and her rectitude." And again. "The State of Israel will not be tried by its riches, army or techniques, but by its moral image and human values."

During the blood-soaked Israeli siege of Beirut in 1982, an event which marked the decline of that rectitude and moral image, a wonderful Doonesbury cartoon depicted a press conference in which an anonymous voice asked an Israeli spokesman: "What has become of the Israel we knew and loved?" And the immediate rejoinder to the questioner? "Come off it, Yasser!" For in a sense, the lugubrious Arafat did adhere to Ben-Gurion's myth-making. In the end, he even signed up for peace with the state which had already taken 78 per cent of the land he called home. He was a super-terrorist who became a super-statesman and then - after refusing to submit at the final Camp David meeting - became a super-terrorist again.

The truth is that Israel has destroyed many mosques, that the original Palestinian Arab victims of the 1947-8 war did not all flee, as Ben-Gurion suggested; many, like the doomed men and women of the Deir Yassin massacre, were murdered in their villages. The Israeli army, to some of us who have watched it in action, is a rabble, little different from the Arab armies of the Middle East. The numbers of civilian dead in the Gaza war were as much an outrage as the Sabra and Chatila massacre of 1982 when Israeli soldiers watched - quite literally - as the Lebanese militia they had sent into the refugee camps eviscerated the Palestinian civilians inside. Foreign journalists continue to prattle on about the supposed purity of Israel's soldiers.

"Israel has already proved itself the most restrained nation in history. It has set an all-time record for restraint," one Robert Fulford waffled in the Canadian National Post in January last year, at the height of the Gaza slaughter, when even Tzipi Livni admitted Israel's soldiers had been allowed to "go wild". Israel's own rightist correspondents still portray the outside world as a dark, malevolent planet in which every criticism of Israel emerges from endemic anti-semitism, in which Nazism did not die in the embers of Berlin in 1945. The Jerusalem Post, bashes the drum of racism almost daily. "Berlin Holocaust studies professor slammed for defending Nazi mentor." "Weisenthal slams Ukraine award to nationalist linked to Nazis." "Dershowitz: Goldstone is a traitor to the Jewish people."

I don't doubt that Stepan Bandera's Ukrainian nationalist movement was a dodgy bunch of racists - and its original adherents were indeed anti-semitic murderers in the Second World War - but where does this end? The Simon Weisenthal Centre - named after a truly honourable man whom I once met in Vienna as he campaigned for Gypsy as well as Jewish victims of the Nazis - is the same organisation which is now proposing to build a 'Museum of Tolerance' on an ancient Muslim graveyard in west Jerusalem. And poor old Richard Goldstone, a Jewish jurist and another honourable man whom I met in the Hague when he was investigating war crimes in ex-Yugoslavia, is a 'traitor' because he said that Israeli soldiers may have committed war crimes in Gaza; in other words, Goldstone - for this is the point - should have allowed his ethnic origins to rule in Israel's favour rather than abide by the rule of law.

Last week, in the dog-day resort of Herzliya, I attended much of the vast conference of Israel's great and good - or at least the largely right-wing variety - to find out how they now saw the country that was founded amid such danger by Ben-Gurion 62 years ago. It was the same old story.

"The Palestinians are the ones who are today the naysayers" - this from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's 'security advisor', Uzi Arad - and the Goldstone Report had now become part of an insidious campaign against Israel, an attempt to "delegitimise" (this is the newest clich�) the state. There were boycotts of Israeli goods. Bonfires were made of Israeli products. "I do not know anyone whose stomach does not turn" at such a sight, said Arad.

Michael Hoenlein, vice-chairman of the immensely powerful Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organisations, ann- ounced that Obama's "engagement" with Syria and Iran had failed. Obama's administration had been "supportive" over Goldstone (i.e. gutlessly supine in criticising a report which it had not even read). Obama now realised it had to work with Israel. There was unanimous consent in the US Senate over Iranian sanctions. No-one mentioned settlements or colonies. I was reminded of Hannah Arendt's observation that the congress of World Zionist Organisation's American section in October 1944 would "embrace the whole of Palestine, undivided and undiminished". She went on: "This is a turning point in Zionist history... This time the Arabs were simply not mentioned in the resolution, which obviously leaves them the choice between voluntary emigration or second-class citizenship."

For Arendt, the Atlantic City congress reflected "the tremendously increased importance of American Jewry and American Zionism..." The result was to forfeit any chance of Arab interlocutors, "leaving the door wide open for an outside power to take over".

And it is worth quoting Arendt once more: "...the Zionists, if they continue to ignore the Mediterranean peoples and watch out only for the big faraway powers, will appear only as their tools, the agents of foreign and hostile interests. Jews who know their own history should be aware that such a state of affairs will inevitably lead to a new wave of Jew-hatred; the anti- semitism of tomorrow will assert that Jews not only profiteered from the presence of the foreign big powers in that region but had actually plotted it and hence are guilty of the consequences."

At Herzliya, Arendt's words were as if they did not exist. Repeatedly, we heard that Israeli officials might not be able to travel for fear of war crimes indictments against them - which suggests that Goldstone's report is indeed biting. Danny Ayalon, the Deputy Foreign Minister who preposterously 'sofa-ed' the Turkish ambassador last month, obviously smelt defeat for Obama's original Cairo message of pro-Muslim appeasement and criticism of Israel. The Israeli-American relationship had "never been better", he told us. Obama had pledged a $30bn (£19bn) package for Israel over 10 years, America had given "iron-clad" security guarantees to Israel. Israel's antagonists will behave better "when the Arab side knows there is no daylight between Israel and the United States."

Ron Prosor, Israel's ambassador to London, announced that while Britain had once ruled the waves, it now ruled the airwaves. The battlefield was now in British universities, in Leeds, in Manchester, at SOAS, in institutions that preach to "students from all over the world" who enter into a "grinder" dominated by the "liberal left". Ehud Barak - small, almost diminutive, hands constantly waving in front of his face but an oddly congenial personality, the kind of guy it would be good to have next to you at dinner - announced that Israel was "facing a complication of threats from near and far". The "near" bit was the Palestinians, the "far", of course, was Iran.

There could be no bi-national state - did anyone want a Bosnia or a Belfast in the Zionist dream? Barak, Defence Minister, former prime minister and - more interestingly - former head of military intelligence, was in orator mode. "I said to Arafat...I told Abu Mazen (Mahmoud Abbas) 'Your most difficult decisions will have to be taken with your own people, not with Netanyahu'..." He quoted Barbara Tuchman on "the despotism of circumstances" and Robert Frost on "good fences make good neighbours", he quoted Churchill - "a pessimist sees a difficulty in every opportunity." And along came Salam Fayyad, Prime Minister of the Palestinian Authority, who apparently thought he was to take part in a discussion rather than make a speech. He pleaded for an end to settlement building - he did not use the word 'colonisation' - and to Israeli "incursions" and he did not - once - mention the word 'Hamas'. An obedient man, Fayyad, a good guy, someone with whom the Israelis could 'do business' because - as Barak and his friends in the Israeli government keep telling us - "it takes two to tango."

Tzipi Livni turned up to tell us that over the past 40 years "a certain reality has been created on the ground" - she meant settlements - "which takes very little of the surface of Judea and Samaria". This was extraordinary. The leader of the Israeli opposition believes the colonisation of the West Bank "took little" territory. If Area C - the Israeli-occupied part of the West Bank - is already lost, then Mr Fayyad and his chums in their 'Authority' have less than 10 per cent of the original mandate 'Palestine' to claim. Livni, too, was against "a two-nation state" because "I have a doubt whether Jews will be able to live in that state at all." I rather think Tzipi Livni is right about that, but she added that "no one will want to supply the keys of a Palestinian state to Hamas". Too true. But isn't it up to the Palestinians to elect their leadership, rather than Israel? It was Major General Benny Gantz who fascinated me. Benny is Israel's military deputy chief of staff - and anyone who lives in this "tough neighbourhood" (I am borrowing Barak's coinage) takes folk like Benny very seriously.

I live in Lebanon which is regularly visited by the Israeli air force, so I looked upon this dapper, slim officer - hair greying, with a Julius Caesar fringe - with almost fatal concern. His decisions - and he will probably be the next chief of staff - could cost me, or anyone else in Lebanon, dearly. The Gaza war, which most Israelis seem to refer to as 'Operation Cast Lead', and the 'Second Lebanon War' - a reference to the 2006 conflict with the Hizbollah which was, in fact, Israel's fifth Lebanon war (the 1978, 1982, 1993, 1996 wars being the previous ones) - was part of a "learning process" which Israel and its enemies underwent. Iran was obviously Benny's prime target.

Iran was "continuing to develop its nuclear project" and Israel was watching its "long-standing firing abilities ... exercises, drills, manoeuvring" and the "trickle-down" effect of all this on "terrorist organisations". Israel could not ignore this situation. "We should be prepared...but of course I'm not going to elaborate on that point."

Indeed, Benny would not want to elaborate on this point - an Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear facilities - which is the nightmare of not just the Middle East but of the Obama administration as well. Where he did talk frankly, however, he was very much to the point. The Lebanese Hizbollah was not just receiving smuggled weapons. "This is not 'smuggling' but a real arms transfer." These new weapons, he said, were being deployed in villages that will become operational bases in a future war. And the government of Lebanon - which includes Hizbollah ministers - will be held responsible. Thus did Benny Gantz portray the next slaughter in the Middle East; if the Palestinians of Gaza were responsible for the bloodbath a year ago - this is, after all, the Israeli line - then the people of Lebanon will be responsible for their next war.

Indeed, they will pay the price. And in case any of us thought that the Gaza war might make Israel's generals a bit worried about war crimes arrests on European holidays, there was Major General Gadi Eizenkot, Israel's northern military commander, telling a Tel Aviv conference that Israel had the "moral" right to disproportionately attack Hizbollah "strongholds" in Lebanese villages. He suggested that 160 Shia Muslim villages in the UN's area of control were now arms storage dumps - a palpable untruth, as the UN knows - and that villages further to the north were being turned into a "battleground", which is indeed much closer to the truth.

But is there not another country in the Middle East which is receiving a "real arms transfer"? Was it not a corporate vice president of Lockheed Martin who announced last month - in Bahrain of all places - that his company hopes to sign a deal with Israel for up to 100 new F-35 jets, replacements for the F-16s that did so much damage to Gaza? Patrick Dewar, I should add, hoped to flog more of these planes to Gulf countries - which means Saudi Arabia - although we can be sure they won't have quite the state-of-the-art offensive power as the ones sold to Israel. Israel itself is building more Merkava tanks and Namer armoured personnel carriers, completing a new squadron of Heron pilotless but missile-firing 'drone' aircraft with a 26-metre wingspan - the same as a Boeing 737 - and a maximum altitude of 45,000 feet, and acquiring new C130 Hercules aircraft and an upgrading of Apache helicopters with new advanced radar and targeting capabilities.

But Herzliya was, in the end, the same old story. Israel was surrounded by enemies, a small, vulnerable nation - we shall forget, here, its own estimated 264 nuclear warheads - under attack by the world for daring to defend itself.

Up in Jerusalem, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was toasting that old scoundrel Silvio Berlusconi, who had announced that "my greatest dream is to include Israel among the European Union countries". Italy and Israel were proud, he said, that they were part of a Judeo-Christian culture that is the basis for European culture. This was a bit much. Roman colonial rule in Judea and Samaria was a savage period in Jewish history and the fascist ruler of Italy - with whom Berlusconi sometimes shares an astonishing physical similarity - was not mentioned.

Netanyahu called the Italian Prime Minister a "courageous leader who is a great champion of freedom and a great supporter of peace." It was a bit like Herzliya: an epic of self-delusion.

Silvio Berlusconi and I do have one thing in common: a liking for that fine Jerusalem hotel, the King David, whose staff are among the politest and friendliest in the world. I say this not just because they let me use their reception lap-top computer when the business centre closed down for the Sabbath, but because the bearded head of finance once asked me if he looked like a member of the Hizbollah. (And yes, I told him, he does.) The King David has even produced a video which boasts how someone who later became prime minister - one Menachem Begin - once blew it up (92 Britons, Arabs and Jews dead). But now I find a new booklet in my room, Jerusalem - Step by Step, by Batya and Avigdor Kornboim, which critiques other hotels. And of the American Colony Hotel in east Jerusalem, the Kornboims write: "Its proximity to the neighbourhood mosque and muezzin may prove bothersome."

Well, yes, I suppose they could be "bothersome", like those pesky minarets which the Swiss rightly decided to object to. Or the wall - longer, taller, than the Berlin Wall so let's call it The Wall - which snakes into the occupied West Bank and steals yet more Arab land for Israel. It is true - it is a fact - that it has decreased the number of suicide bombers in Israel, but it is an outrage, as internationally illegal as it is a blinding, ugly scar on the face of the Holy Land. True, the Ottomans built walls round Jerusalem, just as the Protestant once built walls round Derry, but this thing is an excrescence, not so much Prince Charles' carbuncle on the face of a much-loved friend as the wall of a vast ghetto. Just who is inside the ghetto - the Palestinians or the Israelis - I am not quite sure. But it is a monument to failure, proof positive that there is no Middle East peace. Proof, indeed, that there will not be a peace between 'Palestine' - which, as we all know, does not exist - and Israel.

I travel to Bethlehem, to Area 'A', controlled - if that word can ever have licence in the Middle East - by Fayyad's 'Palestinian Authority', and there, in the grotty coffee-shop beside the Church of the Nativity is Salah Atamari, former governor (no longer - for reasons hedged in uncertainty) of this little town and, in a former life, head of the 12,000 prisoners in the notorious Ansar prison in Lebanon. We have met before - though he doesn't remember this - and Atamari struck up a friendship in 1982 with the Israeli commander of the camp, a certain Colonel Meir Rosenfeld, who lived in Nazareth (Israeli friends insist he is still alive) and was "a courageous and straightforward man - his family perished in Auschwitz". The Holocaust is part of the grammar of Israel. Gantz told us that his mother, who died eight months ago, was a Holocaust survivor. "When a rocket fell near her home [during the Gaza war], she said to me on the telephone: "Don't stop sending them food - but don't stop fighting them."

And I remembered my own mother (who was not a Holocaust survivor but who joined the RAF in 1940) telling me during the 1982 Israeli siege of Beirut that I should stay in the west of the city because if - as the Israelis insisted - journalists should leave the Lebanese capital, it would allow the Israeli army to kill more civilians. I think my Mum was right. Benny Gantz thought his Mum was right. But back to Salah Atamari.

"Obama is not a sultan in an isolated, deserted oasis. He cannot go against the establishment. Can Hamas and Fatah be mature? Maturity means breaking away from innocence. I am against Hamas, ideologically and intellectually speaking ... They turned their back on their heritage as Palestinians. They thought they could turn it into Islamic rule. I am in favour of elections. Let Hamas rule if they can. As a Fatah member, we always advocated a one-state solution where we live with Israelis with equal rights in one democratic state. I think this is inevitable, after maybe 50, or 100 years. Peace is inevitable. I know that the Israelis go crazy when you talk of a one-state solution. But one day they may come to us and say: 'Let's stop this stupid, bloody conflict. Let's live together.' The two-state solution is passing."

I ponder this thought. I do not believe in the one-state solution. I suspect Livni is right about this. But then we have Meron Benvenisti arguing in Ha'aretz that "the artificial existence of the Palestinian Authority in itself perpetuates the status quo because it salutes the illusion that the situation is temporary and that the 'peace process' will soon end it". Half the occupied West Bank, Benvenisti says, has effectively been annexed, "leaving the occupied population with disconnected lands and no viable existence. Only a strategy of permanent rule can explain the vast settlement enterprise and the enormous investment in housing and infrastructure estimated at $100bn." And it is true that the huge colonisation project - you have only to look at the vast tracts of land taken from the Palestinians for Jews, and Jews only, to understand this - is permanent. These are the "facts on the ground". Benvenisti disregards the idea that only Canada and Switzerland proved the worth of the bi-national model. He wants "soft" internal boundaries, as in federated or confederated states.

I look to Atamari to rid me of this argument. "I am a Bethlehemite. This means something. It means deep faith in the inevitability of peace and justice. I believe our focus should be the unity of our society ... We should empower our civil establishment and be an active part of our human society." Yitzak Rabin was killed because of his opposition to the Jewish settlements, Atamari says, and the suicide bombings of the Palestinians made them losers at both the Israeli and the international level. "I was part of the Palestinian Authority ... now we are doing well, but we cannot build our authority under occupation, with 11,000 prisoners in jail." Atamari looks away. He talks about the Ansar prison camp, about the Israeli bulldozer which mutilated the bodies of four prisoners who were hiding in the camp. "There were no informers in the camp," he says. "I issued a statement to the prisoners, that if you have any information about any prisoner, you must inform our leadership." But Ansar was infamous for its informers. Atamari met John Le Carr� in Sidon in December of 1981, and told him - so he says - "the other side of the story". But what is the "other side"? I travel around 'Area C', the huge area - more than 60 per cent - of the West Bank which is already lost to the Palestinians, and I look at The Wall. It snakes across orchards, through villages, over hills like a beast, a confidence trick, a massive indictment of political failure. Is this to be here forever? Or is it - as Netanyahu claims - temporary; which means that it can move further east, towards the Jordan river rather than away from it? I drive to Gaza. It's as bad as they say. Schools, hotels, companies are sliding into the 'Islamist' Hamas regime. Headscarved women, a strict schooling for children, no serious political debate. When I hand over my passport to the lady from Hamas, I notice the warning on the wall behind her: "ON THE INSTRUCTION OF THE MINISTRY OF INTERIOR TO PREVENT ALL FORMS OF LIQUOR (the capital letters now disappear) are confiscated immediately be seized and destroyed and poured in front of their owners." Ye Gods! The Palestinians of Gaza are besieged; they are under the most odious sanctions; they have to build their homes from mud. And they threaten infidels that liquor will be destroyed? In front of their owners? Has Hamas lost its moral compass? Or is this part of the lunatic law in which we must now believe?

In Gaza, I find Palestinians living in tents beside homes that were destroyed in the war a year ago, living in mud homes constructed by the United Nations. One family greets me amid a pool of water and mud, the woman slopping through the filth in her plastic shoes. Her family of 11 children has been dispossessed by a greedy landlord who wanted more money, no war victims these but refugees from society. They were Bedouins. Indeed, their family, the Moughasibs, originally came from a village near the Israeli town of Sderot - yes, that very hamlet so beloved of Hamas' rockets, original name Deir el-Balah, though of course we don't mention that today - and before the 'Nakba', the disaster of the Palestinians, they lived there, in a tent. In a tent before their catastrophe and in a tent after the Gaza war. I splash back to the car, but there is to be a meeting with the Hamas 'Deputy Foreign Minister', Ahmed Youssef. My driver, Ashraf, is worried about my shoes. He washes them, one by one, under a garage hose-pipe and then he cleans the rubber floor of the car.

And when we arrive at the home of Ahmed Youssef, the 'House of Wisdom' - it might also be translated as the 'House of Reflection' - I understand why. Shoes are left at the door. The sofa and pillows are immaculate, the marble floor spotless. No muck from the Moughasibs must stain this place. Nabil Shaath has just been visiting, that scion of the Palestinian Authority. They talked about the lifting of sanctions and the rebuilding of Gaza (some hope!) and about the preparedness of Hamas to allow Palestinians loyal to the Authority to return "unless they were involved in bloody clashes". Odd, this. The Israelis refuse to free Palestinian prisoners who have "blood on their hands". Now Hamas uses the same terminology about its enemies. It's like the Israeli government demanding that the Lebanese government disarm Hizbollah - an idea that would split the Lebanese army and create a new civil war. Just as the Palestinians demand the withdrawal of all Jewish colonies in the West Bank - which the Israeli government won't contemplate for fear of, yes, civil war. The Hizbollah and the settlers have more in common than they realise (as perhaps my finance officer at the King David Hotel knows all too well).

Youssef is all smiles. Yes, Mohamed Dahlan, the hated PLO security boss, can return to Gaza - but he must use Hamas's own security men for his protection. He wanted to come back with his own protection - this could not be tolerated. "He did not accept Hamas security. He wanted other political factions to take care of his security."

I ask about the Hamas murders of collaborators during the Gaza war a year ago. They killed 35 Palestinians, almost three times the number of Israelis who died in the war. Youssef is a little cowed by this. The police and security authorities were attacked, he said. Individual people who wanted revenge for the death of their loved ones wanted retaliation. In some cases, they were waiting at the homes of the collaborators to kill them. "Revenge is part of our culture here. If there is no law-and-order, people will sometimes take the law into their own hands."

This is extraordinary. The Deputy Foreign Minister of Hamas is telling me that revenge is part of Palestinian "culture". But then he talks about negotiating with the Israelis - which, of course, Hamas did, before it became the "centre of world terror". "The Israelis always take you into this big room of optimism. But you quickly figure out that there is, after the light at the end of the tunnel, another tunnel and then light and then tunnel after tunnel." And could Tony Blair help? And here I suspect my heart might warm to Youssef - as indeed it does. "He is a very hypocritical man. He says something one day and the next day he says something else." There, indeed, lies the man we watched speaking before the Chilcott inquiry a few days ago.

And of course, it all boils down to this. The Israeli-Arab conflict is about land. It is about colonies and walls and about bi-national states and two states and - in the end - about who has power. The Israelis with their eternal American supporters? Or the Palestinians, hopelessly divided and soaked - in Gaza, at least - in corruption and nepotism. The tunnels that feed Gaza are skimmed for profits by Hamas.

But what of the hatred of the soul? I went to Hebron and saw, on the walls, for the foreign tourists, the words of the Jewish settlers: "The Torah, kindness and happiness." Then, just up the road, where the Palestinians are being driven out and tourists do not venture, another graffiti. "This is for the Arabs," it said in Hebrew. And beneath was drawn a dagger. Strength and rectitude, moral image and human values. What would Ben-Gurion have made of this?


Independent News and Media Limited

Saturday, February 06, 2010

Mad Men


The great thing about watching Mad Men is the smoking, constant smoking. I can still remember smoking in hospitals, planes, trains, buses,taxis, school, college, offices and of course home-and lighting up straight up after...well you get the idea! Just after watching an episode of Mad Men I find myself going outside and smoking 2 cigarettes without a hint of guilt-brilliant!

Thursday, February 04, 2010

Iran-again!

The spectre of war with Iran looms large again. Even Nobel Peace prize winning president Obama seems to be talking tough! Blair hinted in his testimony last week that he feels the situation with Iran now is similar to that of Iraq-pre-war.
This is wrong, wrong, wrong!
Iran is not Iraq-they have never attacked another country or sovereign state.Although it may appear so, the Iranian people are not subject to an opressive dictatorship. Iran is a prime example of when a western style democracy may not be the best way forward. Iran has many, many internal problems but the people of Iran are intelligent and have enough freedom to deal with it themselves.
The west objects to the procurement of nuclear weapons in Iran-why?
As stated above, Iran has never threatened its neighbours, but one of its neighbours does have nuclear weapons and has stated its willingness to use them(Israel).Iran has been attacked by one of its neighbours with chemical and biological weapons(Iraq). With that kind of history it is understandable that Iran is jumpy. The Mullahs and hardliners have an audience that have first hand experience of the horrors of war.
The west is barking up the wrong tree.Iran cannot be coerced into dropping its nuclear programme, the reasons for Iran developing nuclear weapons must be erased.
Tony Blair did try and tell Bush that the 'Israel' problem must be addressed before long-lasting peace is achievable in the Middle East. Bill Clinton understood this as well, but was unable to change anything.The answer is simple, and could be implemented quickly. Israel is no longer in danger of invasion from its neighbours.Therefore has no need for nuclear weapons, this fact could easily be guaranteed by the US, and so nuclear weapons could be eradicated from the region completely.Israel must establish a homeland and soveriegn nation for Palestinians in Gaza and the West bank. Israel's Arab neighbours must also recognise the state of Israel and no longer threaten to 'wipe it from the face of the earth'.
Iran 'barks' a lot, and really needs to shut the fuck up when talking about Israel.The Iranian people are not a zealous or bloodthirsty lot, and must control its leaders accordingly. Although both groups remain a minority Jewish extremists and Islamic extremists have a lot to answer for.The Muslims and Jews have shared the Holy Land for millenia, and will always share it-both sides need to accept that fact.
Yet although this all seems quite straightforward to sane people, it is still imperative that the hawks in the US understand that using force against a non violent sovereign, Islamic country-Iran would be the mother-the grandmother! of all folly, and is not justified, and could never be justified.

N.B. I have lived and worked in Israel, and travelled throughout Gaza, the West Bank and the Middle East.
Previous posts about Iran and Israel:

http://letstryeurope.blogspot.com/2007/09/freedom-of-speech.html

http://letstryeurope.blogspot.com/2007/09/rainy-day.html

http://letstryeurope.blogspot.com/2007/09/rainy-day.html


http://letstryeurope.blogspot.com/2007/03/is-this-road-for-irans-future.html


http://letstryeurope.blogspot.com/2006/12/it-didnt-really-happen.html

Blair-the final word.


This article from Deborah Orr in today's Guardian is one of those articles that takes your breath away. It is a sane voice in an insane chorus of crap. I don't agree with all that she says, but i do wish that I was able to put my own views across in such a clear, concise way. This is real intelligence which comes from a clear, objective, knowledgeable study of the 'picture'. This is truly journalism at its best.
click the link for the article at source. Or just read my stolen copy below.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/feb/04/chilcot-inquiry-tony-blair

The Chilcot inquiry can't change the past. No inquiry can. But let's imagine so for a moment. Let's imagine that a couple of years after the invasion of Iraq, when the folly of the Anglo-American military action had become all too plain, long after Dr David Kelly had died so shamefully, the electorate had been given a chance to make their views on Tony Blair's leadership heard, in a general election. Except there is no need to imagine that. It happened.

So something else has to be imagined instead. Let's imagine that a man called Reg Keys stood against Blair, in his own constituency of Sedgefield, during the 2005 general election. Let's imagine that this man had lost a son, Lance Corporal Tom Keys, in a particularly notorious incident in Majar ­al-­Kabir, in which five other young men had also been killed by an angry Iraqi mob. Except that this happened too.

So something else has to be imagined instead. Let's imagine that Reg Keys had a powerful and logical appeal to make to the voters of Sedgefield, so powerful and logical that a coalition of other representatives of servicemen's families were happy to back him. Let's imagine that Keys's proposition was that by voting for him, people in Sedgefield would be able to grasp a unique opportunity to express their disgust against Blair over Britain's involvement in an illegal and unjust war, without betraying their loyalty to Labour. (Keys being, in the normal run of matters, a Labour man himself.) Let's imagine that to bolster this proposition, Keys ­attracted an agent who was also a ­Labour man, a leftwing former MP called Bob Clay capable of running a professional and mature campaign. Except that this happened too.

So something else has to be ­imagined. Let's imagine that Keys's ­invitation was widely taken up, and that Blair was compelled to ­acquiesce to election results that delivered a damning verdict from the liberal ­democracy that he had been so ­industriously trying to export (down the ­barrel of a gun) and accept the loss of his seat in parliament. This, of course, really is in the realm of the ­imagi­nation, because Keys got 4,252 votes, coming fourth. Blair, through the supposedly brief invasion had entrenched as a bloody occupation, got 24,429 votes, down just 6% on the previous election, and with a majority of 18,429. That's precisely how angry the electorate was with Blair, about the war. Not very.

The righteous indignation of those who hang on every word uttered at the Chilcot inquiry – looking in vain for the revelation powerful enough to puncture Blair's awesome sense of personal rectitude – is based on an imagined strength of wider feeling. People didn't like Blair's conduct in the lead-up to the war. They didn't like the war ­either. But there is nothing for Chilcot to­ ­uncover that will make 24,429 people in Sedgefield change their minds about who and what they endorsed in 2005, or suddenly ignite a more widespread desire for the enactment of that thrilling radical fantasy – Blair's arrest and trial for war crimes. This isn't just about deliberately narrow remits, or suspiciously lamb-like ­panellists at the inquiry itself. There just isn't much of an appetite for ­endless, futile recrimination.

Chilcot is a waste of time, money and energy. Thus far, it has merely confirmed an interpretation of events that was perfectly apparent even as those events were unfolding. Blair was ­obviously, from the start, a ­messianic hawk, thrumming with the slick self-belief that helped to make him such a powerful vote-winner. The latter ­ensured that Blair was bolstered by a cabinet keen to facilitate the things that its leader wanted (with the deeply honourable exception of the late Robin Cook).

Even those who were uncertain, most notably Clare Short, were flattered into submission. Short now says she was lied to, although she admits she has no evidence of this. Largely, I'm afraid, Short heard the things she wanted to hear, just like her ­colleagues. Her resignation, eight weeks after the invasion, was decent enough. But she had already allowed herself to be neutered, not by lies but by promises of the wonderful nation-building opportunities ahead.

Chilcot reveals only a series of "what ifs", a list of moments whereby, had the players not been so keen to be persuaded, things could have been different. But the players were keen to be persuaded. Nothing can change that. Nothing in this past can be different.

The saddest thing is that I'm not even sure that very much can be learned from the nightmarish debacle that was the Iraq war. ­Paradoxically, for one thing, its very existence ­actually helps to keep alive the idea that ­countries can be liberated by ­"humanitarian" invasion. How many times has it been suggested that without the "distraction" of Iraq, outcomes in Afghanistan may have been better? Another "what if". Another piece of armchair speculation that can never be anything more.

And the rest? Old wisdom, stuff that is already known, that has ­already long been known. That too much power should not be invested in single personalities. That careful people do not research situations with a view to finding the answer that they want. That ­expert opinion from ­experienced ­people should not be lightly ­discounted. That forces of invasion, even with what they think are the best of intentions, are seldom greeted with equanimity for long. That when nobody else in the entire international community agrees with you and your pal, then there might be something wrong. And so on.

Blair did what Blair did. He wanted to keep his sentimental promise to Bush and "stand shoulder-to-shoulder" with him. He believed what he wanted to – on Saddam's supposed links with al-Qaida, on Saddam's supposed ownership of weapons of mass destruction, on the ease with which a troubled country could be fixed. He continues to believe what he wants to, and many claim ­astonishment that he can ­manage this. Yet all there ­really is to learn is that Blair's ability to believe what he wants to is utterly unquenchable, ­totally unassailable. All those little "what ifs" that could have ­altered the course of this chunk of history rely on this powerful flaw in Blair's personality having a chink that isn't there.

It all came down to Blair, his own essential personality that had served him up 'til then so well, and his own strange instincts about what a leader ought to be. I think we may all have learned by now that Blair should never be prime minister again. But in this ­unpredictable world, I wouldn't even bet the farm on that, not quite, because it was post-Iraq Blair who was chosen last time we got to choose.

Wednesday, February 03, 2010

Letters from yesterday's Guardian.

• Recently, I launched into an exploration of the psychogeography of the urban spaces surrounding my residence (Letters, 28 January). Not only did I experience the liminal nature of our minor thoroughfares as a function of wider societal values but I also secured a ­carton of milk and a newspaper from the corner shop.

Robin Pinguey
Liverpool

• As a Toyota is a palindrome, it's still a Toyota when it's in reverse (Letters, 1 February).

Tony Augarde
Oxford

• The popularity of your irritating cliches correspondence must mean tough choices for your letters editor (Letters, 30 January). Our hearts go out to him.

Antony Scott
Bristol

• What is there not to like about cliches?

Martin Pilgrim
Gillingham, Kent

Sir Percy Cradock obituary

Sir Percy Cradock obituary

Eminent diplomat who negotiated the transfer of Hong Kong from the UK to China
If anyone earned the title of Foreign Office mandarin in modern times, it was Sir Percy Cradock, who has died at the age of 86. Cradock was chief architect of the 1984 Sino-British agreement under which Hong Kong was handed back to Beijing in 1997. His diplomatic experience in Beijing spanned three decades, and he was seen by many – including himself – as master of the art of negotiation with the Chinese.......(cont)
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/feb/01/sir-percy-cradock-obituary